"Harrison, Harry - Make Room! Make Room! (Soylent Green) 3.0" - читать интересную книгу автора (Harrison Harry)

Introduction
One of the most ominous trends in a world replete with ominous trends is the
accelerating growth of urban populations. In part, this is directly due to the
population explosionЧpeople are being born at a faster rate than they are dying.
But population growth also contributes indirectly. For instance, as the total
world population skyrockets, more and more pressure develops to mechanize
farming, and farm workers displaced by tractors and combines go to seek their
fortunes in the city. And, of course, many people just prefer to live in cities.
The results of the "population explosion" in cities are getting increasing
publicity. Tokyo Bay is frantically being filled with garbage in order to obtain
land for expansion of a city already so crowded that there is a two-year wait
for middle class apartments. Calcutta today has hundreds of thousands of people
living homeless in its streets; yet it seems inevitable that Calcutta's
population will increase to 12 million by 1990, if the city grows only as fast
as the rest of India. In the underdeveloped countries, cities increased in size
by 55 percent in the decade 1950-1960. When the data for 1960-1970 are
available, urban growth for that decade can be expected to have been even more
spectacular. The inability of those countries to care for their burgeoning urban
populations is easily seen in the spectacular slums associated with them. Less
visible are the high rates of unemployment and social unrest that follow such
rapid urbanization.
The developed countries, with an overall rate of urban growth less than half
that of the poor nations, have also faced increasingly serious problems in their
cities. These have been especially intense in the United States, where the urban
population has more than doubled in the last half century, and the proportion of
urban dwellers has changed from less than half of the population to nearly
three-fourths. The problems of American cities, such as the degeneration of city
centers and uncontrolled growth and development at the periphery, have been the
topic of an enormous volume of literature. The cities themselves have been the
target of numerous, often unsuccessful programs of rehabilitation.
Projection of even the mid-range future of urban areas presents well nigh
insuperable problems. We can be reasonably sure of some things, however. For
instance, the current pattern of urban population growth won't continue much
past the turn of the century. Demographer Kingsley Davis has projected those
growth trends, with startling results. If the post-1950 rates of urban growth
continue to 1984, half of the human race will be living in cities. By 2023
everyone would live in an urban area, and by 2044 everyone would live in cities
with a million or more population. If by some negative miracle the trends
continued that long, the largest "city" would have a population of 1.4 billion
souls, one of every 10 human beings.
But the results of such projections, while instructive, are also preposterous.
We know things won't work out that way as far as the numbers living in cities
are concerned. Moreover, we are completely ignorant of future trends in urban
living conditions. We must leave these to our imaginationsЧor better yet to the
talented imaginations of writers like Harry Harrison. Make Room! Make Room!
presents a gripping scenario of where current trends may be leading. Such
scenarios are important tools in helping us to think about the future, and in
bringing home to people the possible consequences of our collective behavior.
When such a serious goal can be achieved through an engrossing work of fiction
we are doubly rewarded. Thank you, Harry Harrison.