"Will to Believe" - читать интересную книгу автора (James William)embrace a unique opportunity loses the prize as surely as if
he tried and failed. when the opportunity is not unique, when the stake is insignificant, or when the decision is reversible if it later prove unwise. Such trivial options abound in the scientific life. A chemist finds an hypothesis live enough to spend a year in its verification: he believes in it to that extent. But if his experiments prove inconclusive either way, he is quit for his loss of time, no vital harm being done. It will facilitate our discussion if we keep all these distinctions well in mind. 2. Pascal's Wager. The next matter to consider is the actual psychology of human opinion. When we look at certain facts, it seems as if our passional and volitional nature lay at the root of all our convictions. When we look at others, it seems as if they could do nothing when the intellect had once said its say. Let us take the latter facts up first Does it not seem preposterous on the very face of it to talk of our opinions being modifiable at will? Can our will either help or hinder our 'intellect in its perceptions of Lincoln's existence is a myth, and that the portraits of him in McClure's Magazine are all of some one else? Can we, by any effort of our will, or by any strength of wish that it were true, believe ourselves well and about when we are roaring with rheumatism in bed, or feel certain that the sum of the two one-dollar bills in our pocket must be a hundred dollars? We can absolutely impotent to believe them; and of just such things is the whole fabric of the truths that we do believe in made up, -- matters of fact, immediate or remote, as Hume said, and relations between ideas, which are either there or not there for us if we see them so, and which if not there cannot be put there by any action of our own. In Pascal's Thoughts there is a celebrated passage known in literature as Pascal's wager. In it he tries to force us into Christianity by reasoning as if our concern with truth resembled our concern with the stakes in a game of chance. Translated freely his words are these: You must either believe or not believe that God is -- which will you do? Your human reason cannot say. A game is going on between you and the nature of 'things which at the day of judgment will bring out either heads or tails. Weigh what your gains and your losses would be if you should stake all you have on |
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