"Heinlein, Robert A - The Worlds Of Robert A Heinlein" - читать интересную книгу автора (Heinlein Robert A)So let's have a few free-swinging predictions about the future. Some will be wrong Ч but cautious predictions are sure to be wrong. 1. Interplanetary travel is waiting at your front door Ч C.O.D. It's yours when you pay for it. (a) 2. Contraception and control of disease is revising relations between sexes to an extent that will change our entire social and economic structure. (b) 5. The most important military fact of this century is that there is no way to repel an attack from outer space. (c) 4. It is utterly impossible that the United States will start a "preventive war." We will fight when attacked, either directly or in a territory we have guaranteed to defend. (d) 5. In fifteen years the housing shortage will be solved by a "breakthrough" into new technology which will make every house now standing as obsolete as privies. (e) 6. We'll all be getting a little hungry by and by. 7. The cult of the phony in art will disappear. So-called "modern art" will 8. Freud will be classed as a pre-scientific, intuitive pioneer and psychoanalysis will be replaced by a growing, changing "operational psychology" based on measurement and prediction. 9. Cancer, the common cold, and tooth decay will all be conquered; the revolutionary new problem in medical research will be to accomplish "regeneration," i.e., to enable a man to grow a new leg, rather than fit him with an artificial limb. (f ) 10. By the end of this century mankind will have explored this solar system, and the first ship intended to reach the nearest star will be abuilding. ( g ) 11. Your personal telephone will be small enough to carry in your handbag. Your house telephone will record messages, answer simple queries, and transmit vision. 12. Intelligent life will be found on Mars. ( h ) 13. A thousand miles an hour at a cent a mile will be commonplace; short hauls will be made in evacuated subways at extreme speeds. (i) 14. A major objective of applied physics will be to control gravity. ( j ) |
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